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Posts Tagged ‘Swine Flu’

Swine flu peaks for the summer, but re-emergence will prove difficult to predict

Thursday, August 20th, 2009

Despite large numbers still seeking treatment for swine flu, only one in ten people actually have contracted it, reports Times online. The Chief Medical Officer, Sir Liam Donaldson, said that we have seen the peak of swine flu for this summer; however, there will be great difficulty in estimating when the next bout of the virus will hit the country again.

We have seen the latest wave of the illness subside as overall diagnosis and hospitalisations due to the virus have decreased, from 25,000 counted last week to 11,000 so far this week. Fortunately the predictions by top medical officers aren’t looking likely to come to fruition; based on the best scientific evidence simulating the worst-case scenario, it was predicted that 100,000 new cases could be diagnosed by the end of a April. This is not likely to be the case but cases will re-emerge intensely when schools re-open in September and October.

Donaldson reassures the public that the greatest care is being taking with the virus; he said, ‘We have always said that it is better to hope for the best, but plan for the worse’. There are still 263 patients who are being treated in hospitals, with 30 in intensive care. He hopes that the illness will follow the pattern of a similar virus in 1968-70, which peaked at Christmas time; if it does, then there will be plenty of time to vaccinate as many people as possible and even avoid a peak, he said.

Donaldson states that schools could face closure if the virus develops in certain areas, however he does not believe that a national policy will have much effect. So far there have been 54 deaths, the majority of which have been attributed to pre-existing medical conditions. The government has announced a list of the priority groups for vaccines, which include people with asthma and diabetes.

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Tags: Swine Flu, Tamiflu
Posted in Government | 1 Comment »

Swine flu’s continued rise during usual ‘dormant period’ baffles Britain’s health officials

Friday, July 24th, 2009

Swine flu, along with the continuing increasing rate of flu-like illnesses throughout the summer months, has been perplexing for Britain’s top doctors, reports The Guardian. Most viruses similar to the H1N1 strain usually go dormant during the long summer holidays.

Infection rates have almost doubled from the initially estimated 50,000, proving erroneous the predictions that the virus had peaked. It is suggested that the infection rate will slow down now that schools have broken up until the autumn. Doctors stress that the virus has not become more virulent and that for most people the symptoms are relatively mild.

There is also emergency medical capacity ready to be used if the situation worsens, which has placated worries of a shortage of respirators. There has also been concern over fake Tamiflu tablets, the vaccine for the current strain of the virus.

The Government’s website, designed to give advice to people who feel they may be suffering from the swine flu, crashed within minutes after being opened yesterday. There has been much concern that the virus infection rate had sped up significantly, with 100,000 people being diagnosed as having caught the virus just last week, according to the chief medical officer.

The website was designed to take 1,200 hits a second, but instead reached up to 2,600 hits every second, leading it to crash and suspend service.

Findings from GPs have highlighted that the virus has moved out from the hotspots where it was initially concentrated, that those most at risk appear to be the under-14s, and that the virus has become serious for around 800 people who have been rushed to hospital.

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